A non-governmental organisation, CLEEN Foundation has expressed fears of possible violence before, during and after 2015 general election.
Programme manager of the foundation, Chinedu Nwagu made the submission in Abuja yesterday while presenting a draft of its second security threat assessment towards 2015 election.
According to the NGO supported by McArthur Foundation, states have been mapped in line with identified hot spots showing what it described as ‘‘Places to keep under close security watch for possible violence.”
In this vein, ‘‘We categorised them using traffic light signals (green, amber and red) to indicate levels of threat.”
The programme manager explained that green represents stability/lowest threat states and red indicating the highest threat level/most volatile states.
Pointing out that the measures used for the categorisation in include history of violence, degree of control by incumbent and relationship with the federal government, stability of internal state party politics, existence of terrorist/militant activity, state of emergency or communal/religious conflict, bid for second term by incumbent governor, zoning arrangement by political parties amongst others, he said.
Red signal states include Nasarawa, Plateau, Benue, all in North-Central; Borno, Yobe, Adamawa, Taraba in North-East, while North-West states in the league include Kaduna, Kano, Sokoto, and South-South states of Rivers and Delta (none for South-East and South-West).
Amber states in North-Central are Kogi, Niger while Bauchi and Gombe made the list from the North-East, Katsina, Zamfara, North-West, Ebonyi, Enugu, Imo – South-East, Edo, Bayelsa – South-South, Lagos, Oyo and Ogun – South-West.
Green states include Kwara – North-Central, Jigawa, Kebbi – North-West, Anambra, Abia – South-East, Cross River, Akwa Ibom – South-South, Ondo, Ekiti, Osun – South-West (none for North-East).
However, the foundation also noted that in the six geopolitical zones, socio cultural factors continue to undermine women participation in politics.